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Mean expected magnitude

Time-synchronizations of the Omega-sequences allow for the calculation of the possible magnitudes of forecasted earthquakes. Based on Båth’s law, several “energy levels” of earthquakes are possible. The above model illustrates the field of the mean expected magnitude. This field is defined by synchronizations of the geometric type Omega-sequences which play a dominant role in triggering mainshocks. A sudden increase in the field of the mean expected magnitude might define the timing of the earthquakes. However, the field of the mean expected magnitude is not the only field, which can define the timing of the earthquakes. Other fields are also the shear stress, shear traction, and T-synchronization fields. 

The mean expected magnitude can be calculated on a 1- or 0.1-degree scale based on the algorithms described by Žalohar (2018). The range of the values of the mean expected magnitude field is between 2 (blue) and 7 (dark red). The range varies with time.

 

Reference:

  • Žalohar, J., 2018. The Omega-Theory; A New Physics of Earthquakes. Elsevier, 558 pp