Quantectum AG is a Swiss research company dedicated to advance the global earthquake forecasting. We are both a research institute and an operational service. The project was founded in 2018 after the discovery and publication of the Omega-Theory, which redefined and solved the earthquake forecasting problem. The Quantectum adopts the same standards as meteorology to produce the global earthquake forecasts and other data, which can be purchased by our partners and commercial customers, and the broader community.
The Quantectum core mission is to:
- produce earthquake forecasts and monitor the Earth system,
- carry out scientific and technical research to improve forecasting models,
- maintain an archive of seismological data.
We also provide advanced training to scientific staff employed in our member organizations.
At Quantectum AG, we understand the necessity of wider communities to be properly and promptly informed about potential earthquake hazards and are at the same time aware that the wrong approach to communicating our results to the communities could result in worst consequences than not communicating at all. Consequentially, our strategy is to make the results of our research and forecasting available to the responsible stakeholders in the areas of increased short-term earthquake hazards and leave the public communication to their expert for which we believe have much higher competencies than our experts. It is hence upon these public entities to inform the public in time and in the most suitable manner.
Streams of work
Global forecasts: Quantectum develops and produces ensemble-based analyses and forecasts that describe the range of possible scenarios and the likelihood of earthquake occurrences. Our forecasts cover time frames ranging from immediate, short-range to long-range.
Quantectum science: Quantectum carries out research on all aspects of the global earthquake forecasting, not just those related to the Omega-Theory.
Environmental service: Our integrated forecasting system has created an opportunity to analyze other aspects of tectonic and seismic processes in Earth, such as stress maps, permutations of stress states in the Earth's crust, migration of seismic activity, etc...
News and earthquake scenarios: Our long-range forecasts are only available to the professionals, who are our partners or commercial customers. Depending on who you are, the numerical results are available to you for further analyses.
The Omega-Theory; A New Physics of Earthquakes
The system of ensemble earthquake forecasting by Quantectum is based on the Omega-Theory, which is an all-new theory of the fundamental underlying physics of earthquakes and faulting processes in the Earth’s crust.
Read also: ELSEVIER on the Omega-Theory
This theory brings together twenty years of research in the field of geophysics and attacks the problem within the framework of, but going beyond, the Cosserat continuum theory. The theory was heavily tested on hundreds of natural examples and numerical tests. It spans over many fields of theoretical physics and geology, such as plate tectonics, synchronization of chaotic systems, solitons and fractals, mathematical set theory, and quantum mechanics.
About the Omega-Theory
For long, the earthquake prediction problem remained one of the most important unsolved problems in geophysics. Numerous studies, discussions, and critical reviews have been published, with mixed and unconvincing results. The failure to recognize a pattern to allow for reliable earthquake prediction has led many scientists to believe that the earthquake prediction problem is impossible to solve. In the last decades, however, generations of seismologists, geophysicists, and geologists have accumulated enough knowledge and information to allow for the reformulation and solution of this essential problem. The result is this new book, The Omega Theory: A New Physics of Earthquakes, which offers a unifying mathematical framework to describe and answer the most pressing and unexamined dilemmas of earthquake sequences. Those in the fields of seismology and geology are currently faced with a vast and complex mathematical structure, involving numerous new natural laws and theorems; this book has interpreted this structure as a new physical theory and a new paradigm. The Omega-Theory opens a new chapter in our understanding of the tectonic and seismic processes within the Earth and is an essential resource for future researchers in the fields of structural geology, physics of the Earth, and seismology.